given successful nominationPres. if nom.
Gavin NewsomNewsom18%61%
Jon OssoffOssoff16%63%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAOC15%61%
Kamala HarrisHarris8%58%
Pete ButtigiegButtigieg5%56%
JD VanceVance43%43%
Marco RubioRubio24%57%PolyBridge / Two Americas
Market-implied 2028 Democratic and Republican nomination probabilities and each candidate's chance of winning the presidency if nominated.
Last updated
Gavin NewsomNewsom18%61%
Jon OssoffOssoff16%63%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAOC15%61%
Kamala HarrisHarris8%58%
Pete ButtigiegButtigieg5%56%
JD VanceVance43%43%
Marco RubioRubio24%57%Interactive view loading.